After four weeks of watching the AFC Championship Game, I’m ready to make up my mind about the wild-catting title game between the Patriots and Bengals.
If you’re still reading this, you’re probably saying, “Well, we’ll just wait and see.”
It doesn’t matter, because I’ve decided it’s time for me to take a look at this year-end game.
I’m not ready to write off the game just yet.
I still think the Patriots are a dangerous team to play.
But this year, the Bengals are just too talented to beat.
Let’s start with the facts.
The Bengals won their first two games against teams that finished in the top half of the league in points allowed per game.
That is, the two teams played only once in the first half of games and they both beat their opponents.
Then, the Patriots won the first two home games and the Bengals went 0-3 in the final three games of the season.
This isn’t to say the Bengals aren’t a dangerous offense, because they are.
They were the No. 1 scoring offense in the league last season, and their offense averaged more than 5.7 yards per play last season.
They scored 10 touchdowns on average, and that number is expected to rise to 10 this season.
The Patriots were a much more balanced offense than the Bengals, but they didn’t score a touchdown on the ground, and they didn�t record more than 20 points.
The difference between the teams is that the Patriots had a better defensive line and better linebacker corps.
But both teams had an average quarterback rating of 101.5 last year, and both teams scored more than 400 yards on the field.
The problem is, neither team was able to get to the quarterback on a consistent basis.
If we look at the stats for the Patriots last season and the average number of drives each team had, the Pats were 9th in drives per game (4.6), with the Bengals 14th at 3.5 drives per contest (5.0).
They were also tied for third at 11th in yards per game allowed (4,071), but the difference in those numbers is negligible.
The same goes for touchdowns allowed per drive.
The average number was 4.4, and the difference was just two touchdowns allowed in 10 games.
The gap in points per drive is smaller, but there’s a bigger difference between 2.3 points and 3.3.
The defense played a bigger role in this, with the Patriots allowing more than 2,000 yards and a passer rating of 115.4.
The other big difference between these two teams is the difference between average points allowed and average yards per attempt allowed.
The Pats allowed the second-fewest points per game, and while the Bengals were averaging more than 1,000 per game they averaged just 1,077.
The Colts also allowed the fewest yards per drive, with Indianapolis averaging just 1.96 yards per contest.
This is where things get interesting.
The Bills, Steelers and Bengals were the only teams to allow more than 100 points in their last five games.
And those five games were the five games the Bengals won.
The Steelers also had a tough schedule and a weak defense, but their offense was one of the better offenses in the AFC last year.
They averaged over 7 yards per carry and averaged over 10.0 yards per touchdown.
The offense allowed just one touchdown and just one interception.
The Browns, Chiefs and Eagles had some very good defenses last year but couldn’t consistently stop opposing quarterbacks.
The Texans and Steelers were also two teams that had an offensive line that played well, but could not keep opposing quarterbacks out of the pocket.
So if the Patriots can win their first three games against defenses that can stop the other two teams in the playoffs, I think they can get a better shot at the Super Bowl.
Now, let’s get to why this game should be decided.
First, let�s look at some of the statistics that will be used in this exercise.
First off, we have the average yards allowed per pass attempt for the two games, and it shows the difference at the quarterback position.
In the first three contests, the teams averaged just over 4.0 per attempt, and last year they averaged over 4 per attempt.
But with only two games played, it is still too early to determine if the gap between the two is significant.
That said, this gap should be significant by now.
In last year’s Wild Card Game, Tom Brady was sacked 15 times and the Patriots finished with 4.5 sacks.
That number is only one sack shy of last year�s mark, and with the Browns, Steelers, Colts and Jaguars all getting sacks, it should be easy to figure out where the gap in sacks and pressures are.
It should be about 5.5 yards per sack, which is about what we saw last year with the Broncos.
If the Patriots take this one to the Bengals and win the